The MCET-Colombia team has customized the SWITCH model to advance Colombia’s energy transition, simulating long-term, renewable-based scenarios aligned with Mining and Energy Planning Unit (UPME) projections for 2037. Introduced through a workshop at the University of the Andes (Universidad de Los Andes) with 44 key stakeholders, the model supports policy analysis and optimal generation planning. Ongoing updates incorporate feedback on transmission costs, seasonal scenarios, and industrial demand.
About Colombia Team
The Universidad de los Andes School of Management, founded in 1972, is committed to educating leaders who can transform organizations and society through innovative and sustainable development. It offers undergraduate, graduate, doctoral, and executive education programs, distinguished by academic excellence and a highly qualified faculty.
The MCET-Colombia team has calibrated the Switch 2.0 model for long-term planning of an electricity system with a high renewable component in Colombia. Using planned and existing generation projects, along with other relevant parameters, we adapt the model to reflect Colombia's unique energy mix, grid and regional generation potential. Switch Colombia simulates dispatch for the base year 2023 with high accuracy, providing a solid basis for capacity expansion planning. The model is compared to the Unidad de Planeación Minero Energética (UPME) scenarios for the year 2037. With Switch Colombia, stakeholders and policy makers can recreate various scenarios, assess policy impacts, and identify optimal generation portfolios to make informed decisions.
The team kickstarted writing a Working Paper that is foundational for Switch Colombia as a guideline that stakeholders can confidently use. This involves benchmarking the model with both actual data from a base year and existing scenarios from the Mining and Energy Planning Unit (UPME). A first version of the Working Paper has been produced, please see below.
Workshop “Introduction to the Switch Open-Source Model” (February 6th, 2024)
MCET-Colombia team held the workshop “Introduction to the Switch Open-Source Model” at Universidad de Los Andes. This workshop introduced key stakeholders to the work we had undertaken in Switch Colombia up to that point. A total of 44 participants joined the workshop.
The workshop included participants from the public sector, such as members from the Ministry of Mines and Energy, the Mining and Energy Planning Unit, the Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Development, the National Planning Department, the national system operator (XM), and the Superintendence of Public Utilities. Additionally, private stakeholders from local energy companies, including Ecopetrol and Enel, participated in the workshop. Various members of the academic community from Universidad de Los Andes, who work in the energy sector, were also in attendance.
The workshop began with an introduction by Professor Patricia Hidalgo-Gonzalez (online), who presented the MCET project to the participants. This was followed by Mathias Fripp (online), Associate Vice President of Modelling, Mapping, and Analytics, who provided a thorough overview of Switch as its lead author. Next, Camilo Herrera, representing the MCET Colombian team, presented the results to date in the modeling of Switch Colombia.
In the second part of the workshop, after presenting Switch and the modeling carried out, the floor was opened for the attendees to share their impressions and points of view on the barriers and opportunities for the energy transition that may be considered in Switch modelling. As a result, next are some of the key points expressed by the participants:
Consider the network costs that the energy regulator uses to remunerate regulated transmission charges.
Create summer-winter scenarios that consider water reservoir levels.
Perform modeling analysis of industrial demand and differential growth.
Review carbon tax mechanisms, and whether the price signal has an effect on emissions.
Evaluate the entry of “small hydropower” SHP (Filo de agua).
Identify projects for renewable integration into the system.
Include grid constraint costs into the model
The model may allow to improve the planning function.
This engagement with local stakeholders early in the year was critical for subsequent work, as it allowed us to identify some of the key features needed to tailor Switch Colombia to stakeholder needs.
As a result, we undertook further development of Switch Colombia, focusing on some of the suggestions (e.g., comprehensively identifying all existing and new projects, creating summer and winter scenarios that take into account annual seasonality, etc.).
In parallel, a second workshop on Switch Colombia is being prepared, pending the finalization of an advanced version of the working document.