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China | China Energy Modeling Forum (CEMF)
China | China Energy Modeling Forum (CEMF)
The China team has used the SWITCH-China model to model pathways for China’s power system transition. Through a series of high-level seminars, training programs, and collaborative research initiatives, they have bring together key stakeholders, including policymakers, researchers, and local decisionmakers to exchange insights on power system modeling and transition strategies.
About China Team
The China Energy Modeling Forum (CEMF), established in 2015 by Tsinghua University's School of Public Policy and Management, the Center for Industrial Development and Environmental Governance, and the Environmental Defense Fund Beijing Representative Office, brings together leading domestic and international teams in energy, economics, and environmental modeling. CEMF aims to enhance communication among these teams, promote model innovation, and provide scientific insights to support policymaking for sustainable energy development and climate goals.
The China team used the Switch-China Model, developed by Dr. HE Gang from Marxe School of Public and International Affairs, Baruch College, City University of New York to conduct model studies. We used this model to conduct model analysis to analyze the risks (loss of load probability) faced by China's power system transition.
Training Programs
Since 2023, EDF China has led training initiatives to build China’s capacity for power system transition and long-term solutions in Beijing. These opportunities have made a significant impact to shape the knowledge, resources and perspectives of participants, who included energy and modeling researchers, policymakers, local community leaders, and young scholar who will shape China’s climate trajectory.
October 16, 2023. We hosted several power system modeling training sessions for young scholars from over 15 domestic modeling teams. The workshops were led by the experts who developed the models (SWITCH and SWITCH-China Model, energyRt), providing a rich opportunity for Chinese students to gain a deeper understanding of power system modeling and its potential for solving power system decarbonization challenges. Feedback on these sessions was overwhelmingly positive. Some participants, having acquired valuable knowledge from our training, are conducting further research in power system decarbonization. Meanwhile, EDF China will benefit from their studies by incorporating insights that may be valuable for our future initiatives.
April 26 & 28, 2024. We invited Matthias Fripp, author of the SWITCH model, to provide on-site training sessions in Beijing for students from several universities in Beijing and Shanxi, along with power industry professionals.
Stakeholder Engagement
Stakeholder Engagement
Since 2023, EDF China and CEMF hosted a series of technical seminars and workshops which brought hundreds of decision-makers, domestic and international modeling teams and scholars together to discuss power system transition from multiple lenses and the development of a regionally tailored and nationally scalable new power system.
In April 2024, we organized the 8th China Energy Modeling Forum Annual Conference, which emphasized the urgent need for an energy system dominated by renewable sources and fostered discussions on robust strategies to transition to such a system. The conference gathered about 200 attendees from organizations like the Development Research Center of the State Council, the Energy Research Institute, the National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, the National Climate Center and the China Electricity Council, as well as top universities and research institutes such as Tsinghua University, Peking University and Beihang University. During the conference, EDF China co-hosted a subforum on new power system modeling and international model comparisons with Beihang University and Energy Innovation. This session provided a platform for attendees to exchange insights on innovative power system modelling methodologies and practices using models such as Switch, PLEXOS, Balmerol, etc., and to highlight the more complex modeling needs that have emerged as China plans to establish a new power system dominated by renewables. These events provided potential solutions and tools that can help accelerate China’s power sector decarbonization to many of the stakeholders who are driving this effort. Furthermore, the conference allowed us to continue to foster consensus on the key role that the power sector has to play in China’s deep decarbonization and the importance of considering future climate risks as decision makers plan for a robust and resilient power sector transition.
Research: Risks in Transitional Electricity Systems & Local New Power System Planning
Research: Risks in Transitional Electricity Systems & Local New Power System Planning
We are collaborating with Beihang University to use SWITCH-China to conduct research to map uncertainties and risks posed by China’s energy system transition and develop a robust transition roadmap of mitigating uncertainties and risks to facilitate accelerated non-fossil energy integration into China’s power system. We will engage key decision makers, providing actionable policy recommendations supported by robust research outcomes. We hope our efforts will help China implement a strong power sector decarbonization program that will hopefully exceed the targets set in the last development plan (14th Five-Year Plan for a Modern Energy System) and result in a policy framework supporting a more aggressive target toward 2035 in the period covered by the next development plan (15th Five-Year Plan).
We are supporting the local government in Lvliang in Shanxi Province through model-based solutions as it plans to expedite local power sector decarbonization. Since April 2024, we have provided continuous training for domestic modeling teams from Beihang University and a local modeling team from Shanxi University, who will support the local New Power System development plan, on the Switch-China model. The modeling teams will provide policy recommendations on the local New Power System development plan based on their modeling results by the end of 2024. (project still in progress, no links or publications yet)
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